Sunday, 30 October 2016

START OF INVESTING STARS IN INDIA

Sumit Bhatt
Sumit Bhatt, Chartered Accountancy Student
  • Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Jhunjhunwala grew up in Mumbai, India where his father is posted as an Income Tax Officer. He graduated from Sydenham College and thereafter enrolled at the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India.
Jhunjhunwala is the chairman of Aptech Limited and Hungama Digital Media Entertainment Pvt. Ltd. and sits on the board of directors of various Indian companies such as Prime Focus Limited, Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services Limited, Bilcare Limited, Praj Industries Limited, Provogue India Limited, Concord Biotech Limited, Innovasynth Technologies (I) Limited, Mid Day Multimedia Limited, Nagarjuna Construction Company Limited, Viceroy Hotels Limited and Tops Security Limited.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala Success Story from 5k to 1.8$ Billion
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, the name that needs no introduction. The legendary investor who is known as the Warren Buffet of India. Lets check out the success story of Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and his journey from 5000 Rs to 8000 Crore.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala was born on 5th July 1960. He father was an Income tax officer. His father was interested in stocks and used to discuss about the stock market with his friends. Rakesh as a child would listen to them. Once he asked his father why the price fluctuate. He told him to check the news, it makes the price to fluctuates. This was his first lesson of stocks market. He got fascinated by stocks and found it interesting. He expressed his wish to get into stock market to his father. He told him to do whatever he wanted in life but at least get professionally qualified. Rakesh then took up chartered accountancy and completed his CA in 1985.
After completing the CA he told his father that he wanted to go in the stock market. His father reacted by telling not to ask him or any of his friends for money. Earn and trade with your money. He started his career in 1985 when the BSE Sensex was at 150. He made his first big profit of Rs 0.5 million in 1986 when he sold 5,000 shares of Tata Tea at a price of Rs 143 which he had purchased for Rs 43 a share just 3 months prior. . Between 1986 and 1989 he earned Rs 20–2.5 million. His first major successful bet was iron mining company Sesa Goa(now Sesa Sterlite). He bought 400,000 shares of Sesa Goa in forward trading, worth Rs 10 million and sold about 2-250,000 shares at Rs 60–65 and another 100,000 at Rs 150–175. The price rose to Rs 2200 and he sold some shares.
Jhunjhunwala bought 6 crore shares of Titan in 2002-03 at an average price of around Rs 3. The stock is currently trading at 390 Rs level and his investment value is now 2100 crore, which made around 35 lakh per hour for him. In 2006 he bought lupin around 150 Rs which is now trading at 1100 levels. He bought crisil around 200-300 levels which is now at 1800. Likewise there are so many stocks in his portfolio that made huge money for him.
His philosophy
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala believes in power of mistakes. He says its the mistakes that made him to learn and become a better investor. he says. “If you don’t believe the markets are supreme, you will never admit that it was your mistake. If you don’t admit that it is your mistake, you will never learn. To succeed in the stock market, not only is the ability to learn from one’s mistakes vital, he says, but also to blame only oneself for it. “I don’t blame the promoters of companies. I blame myself. The promoter is what he is. I have to recognise that. He is not what I expect him to be.” Jhunjhunwala says what he has learnt in life is to try and earn money in trading and to invest it in stocks.
His believe on India
Jhunjhunwala says he is bullish on the country growth since he entered the stock market. He insists the Indian economy will grow by 9-10 percent, though that may need a transition of two to three years. Jhunjhunwala’s thesis is that Indians will save $1 trillion a year, and even if 10 percent of that money—$100 billion —flows into the markets, there will be a tsunami on the bourses. “So I remain bullish that, for the next 20 years, we could see a bull run like the one Wall Street had from 1987.”
His daily routine
He wakes up at 7.30 and does some exercise. At 9 am he watches TV to get update about market opening. At 10 he gets ready for work after having breakfast. Around 11.30 he reaches his office talks to his people, checks mails, reads articles and watch the trading screen. 4 PM onwards he meets the people at the end of the trading hours. At 7.30 he leaves for home, after reaching home he plays with his children and looks into his daughters homework. At 9.30 he takes dinner and after 10 goes to bed.
  • Radhakishan damani
He is a low-profile stock market veteran who invests on his own account. His portfolio includes a string of blue-chip stocks that he has been accumulating over the years. Notable holding is a 26 percent stake in cigarette maker VST Industries, an affiliate of British American Tobacco. A big chunk of his wealth also comes from hypermarket chain D-Mart, which he set up and grew into a chain of more than 70 outlets, mostly in western India. He has pledged $8 million to a Bangalore institute and $1.8 million to the new Ashoka University.
Fast Fact: His close friend is fellow investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala (ranked 51) who refers to Damani as his 'guru'.
Mr Damani started his career as a trader in ball bearings, far from the battlefield of bulls and bears. Following his father’s death, he shut shop and joined his brother’s stock broking business, inherited from their father. Just 32 and lacking knowledge of market dynamics, Mr Damani’s only asset was his keenness to learn.
“He was not a value investor to begin with; he began his career in the stock market as a speculator,” says a Damani watcher. Mr Damani was quick to realise speculation was the not the best way to grow capital. Inspired by the legendary value investor Chandrakant Sampat, he started playing for the long term.
Often, his strategy was simple. When he bet on Indian Shaving Products (now Gillette), his reasoning was, “People will shave no matter what.” It took Mr Damani some time to gain a foothold, and several of his initial bets flopped. But he steadfastly refused to follow the herd, and concentrated on evolving trading strategies of his own.
Gradually, he began getting his calls right, and within the next couple of years he had joined the ranks of the big boys on Dalal Street. “Few players possess the kind of patience he does. But when he is convinced about any stock, he would buy his desired quantity in one sweep. And if he felt that a stock had run its course, he would dump his holdings at one go,” says an associate.
Also noted was his promptness in cutting losses. “Unlike many other players, ego would never get in the way of his booking losses,” says the associate. Mr Damani himself once said, “Cutting your losses is like performing a surgery on one arm with the other; painful, but it has to be done, otherwise the arm may have to be amputated.”
Mr Damani likes to keep a low profile. “He is not very articulate and does not communicate much, but he is a great listener. He patiently hears out everybody and never scoffs at any idea. It is a different matter that at the end of it all, he would back his judgement and instinct,” says the associate.
All along, Mr Damani made some great calls both on the long and short sides of the market. Yet, many players viewed him as a bear rather than a bull. “In India, anybody who is skilled at short selling is frowned upon, the general perception being that short sellers destroy value,” says a close friend of Mr Damani.
His limited circle of friends is said to include Dalal Street’s latest cult figure Rakesh Jhunjhunwala. Often, the market believed they hunted as a pair. Even if one of them was active at a counter, broking circles would say the duo was in it.
A string of successes notwithstanding, it was the epic battle of 1992, in which he emerged victorious, that would mark Mr Damani as a stock market legend. It was the battle with the Big Bull, Harshad Mehta.
Reining in the Big Bull
The flashy Harshad Mehta shot into prominence thanks to a daring rally that lasted the better part of 1991, only to eventually fizzle out in April 1992. Mr Damani, on his part, was bullish on the market only till February 1992. Even as the Big Bull was pumping up the shares, Mr Damani began to go short.
He reasoned blue chips had already run up a lot and fundamentals no longer justified the rally. What Mr Damani had not bargained for was the seemingly limitless supply of funds to Harshad Mehta. The market kept rising, but rather than cutting his losses, Mr Damani rode on his conviction and doubled up his short positions. “The market took off vertically between February to April, and RK was trapped badly,” recalls a veteran broker. “His losses were huge, and if the rally continued for a few more weeks, he may even have had to shut shop.”
But then, it emerged that Harshad had been siphoning off funds from the banking system and using them to buy stocks. When the scam got exposed, the market went into a tailspin. Mr Damani not only regained the lost ground, but walked away with a tidy profit.
Harshad Mehta was to lock horns with Mr Damani once more in 1998, but this time with fatal consequences for the Big Bull. Harshad now focused on three stocks, BPL, Videocon Industries and Sterlite. The prices of these shares touched dizzy levels even as the broader market fell. It was as though Harshad’s picks were defying gravity.
All the time, Mr Damani was biding his time on the sidelines. A disciple of the old school of investing, his assessment was that the stock price had run far beyond fundamentals. At the time he thought was right, he started building short positions.
Prices continued to climb and he had to square off some initial positions at a loss. But soon, signals came that the Big Bull was having trouble financing his positions. And Mr Damani moved in for the kill. He simply doubled his short positions, under the weight of which, the market caved in.
Panic set in. The prices of the three chosen stocks plunged 60%. Some brokers say exchange authorities even tried to bring together Mr Damani and Harshad for a compromise but the talks failed. “It would be wrong to say that RK’s call was motivated by a desire for revenge,” says a market watcher who once worked with Mr Damani.
“It was all about the price… He would have short sold those stocks irrespective of whoever had a bullish view on them,” he says.
When Mr Damani came to know that some small shareholders were left with positions they could not exit, he covered up a part of short positions by buying shares from these investors at a negotiated price. This was not the first time he had done such a thing. In the early 90s, Mr Damani had accumulated a pile of ACC shares.
When a payment crisis loomed, Mr Damani responded to a request from authorities and offloaded a part of his holding at a discount. He was among those probed by regulators for suspected price hammering, but was eventually given a clean chit.
Towards the fag end of 1998, the overall market sentiment began to improve. Before long, the market was in the grip of a bull run led by technology stocks, which would peak out in February 2000. RK continued to trade, but those close to him say he had already begun scaling down the number and size of his bets.
Was he preparing for a self-imposed exile from the market beginning somewhere in 2001 for the next few years? Friends say he was always passionate about retailing, but were there other factors also that influenced Mr Damani to retreat from Dalal Street?
After the stock market crash of 2001, bear operators were once again under the regulatory scanner, the allegation being that they had colluded to hammer stock prices. Needless to say, Mr Damani also figured on the list of suspects. “Like any other operator, RK made most of his money being on the long side of the market,” says a broker who knows Mr Damani for long.
“He had a finger on the pulse of the market and would not hesitate to sell short if the situation called for it. Unfortunately, his short (selling) calls attracted more attention than some of his long (buying) calls,” he says.
Some players say that Mr Damani found himself a bit out of depth during the technology boom of 1999-2000. He stuck to the classic rules of trading, short selling shares that he felt were over valued and going long on the under valued ones.
But stocks from the sectors that he had an sound understanding of, cement, automobile, steel, were out of favour. Technology was the buzzword at the bourse, and irrespective of whether those companies were making money or not, investors were falling over each other to buy into them.
And Ketan Parekh had now taken over the as the reigning Big Bull, and carved out a reputation for himself as a champion of new economy stocks. Mr Damani’s old school strategies did not work well for him in this period.
The comeback
If anyone had not noticed, Mr Damani’s right calls on Tata Steel and State bank of India made them aware of his return to the stock market this year. But this time, it has been a mixed bag of hits and misses, those close to him say. “Over the last one month, he has been as successful or unsuccessful as other players in his league,” says a Damani watcher.
It may be premature to judge the old fox when the markets have not shown a clear trend. India, like other equity markets around the world, has been volatile over the last month as a result of the crisis involving sub-prime loans in the US. It is anybody’s guess how things will go from here.
The market has also undergone a sea change during Mr Damani’s absence. The number of participants, stocks and liquidity have risen manifold. If there is greater transparency, there is also more volatility to contend with. Admirers or critics, everyone is impatient to know whether and how Mr Damani is going to pull it off this time.

FOREX TRADING


Étienne Crête, Forex Trader & Founder at DesireToTRADE.com (Trading Psychology & Methodology)

Hi,
Trading is very simple but far from being easy. I realized that because I've been in your situation. It took me around 3 years to make consistent profits (and not lose what I made).
The great thing is that you're still trading after 3 years. The average trader gives up after 4 months (National Futures Association).
If you are not profitable, it means you haven't put in place one of the things mentioned below...
Here are the parts to master:
1. Build a strategy and set your rules
It took me a long time to put together a trading plan but it is crucial. It should answer the following questions:
Why do I want to trade and/or make money trading?
What is my signal?
Where do I enter?
Where will I cut my loss?
Where will I take profit? (it's better to have several T/P in my opinion)
What amount will I risk? (should be a fixed % or $ number)
What maximum drawdown will I allow myself to get weekly/monthly? (the point at which you'll stop trading)
What timeframe do I trade?
When do I trade?
2. Build up your confidence
There's only one way to build up your confidence about yourself and your strategy.
It is practice.
If you want to save time, I recommend you backtest. Either use a backtesting software or any trading platform and track the trades you would have taken with your strategy.
When you backtest, make an effort to find the losers. This means it's better to take more losing trades that you would in real life. Don't take the trades that do not correspond to your strategy though.
When you've done your backtesting, evaluate whether you have a positive return. Also see what was your longest losing streak. That way you'll be less depressed if it ever happen again (it will at some point).
3. Get the structure you need to trade live
Most people never do step 1 and 2. Among those who do step 1 and 2, a lot of people screw up when they get to live trading. The main problem is that they do not put what they need in place to trade live.
A lot of people, including my best clients, see themselves as free when they trade. They feel too restricted by structure but it is essential.
Here's what you need:
  1. A trading journal in which you put screenshots of your trades and comments
  2. A set of routine (written down) that you execute every single day when you trade. It should include when you trade, what you look for, etc.
  3. Get in the right mental/physical state to trade. Trading is hard when you spend too much time looking at the live market. Make sure you get what you need (off time) to recharge.
  4. Support from other traders: this is very important because talking with other traders can boost your motivation and keep you accountable. I saw a huge difference when I surrounded myself with traders. I created a Facebook for traders. You can join here: Log into Facebook | Facebook
4. Understand trading psychology
This is the easy part because it mainly consists of reading. However, you'll definitely get some breakthrough ideas or ahah moments like I did.
Check out Market Wizards, Trading In The Zone, One Good Trade, and Millionaire Trader.
The main ideas:
  • You can't know in advance what will be the outcome of your trade. A trade, whatever the setup looks like, has 50% chances of being a loser.
  • Don't focus on profit, focus on exerting your trading strategy. "The key is making one good trade, one good trade, and then one good trade".
  • Every trader has a different way of doing things, don't get in the circle of switching your trading strategy once you'e made your trading plan.
  • Backtest everything
I think that sums it all. It is what I did to become a CPT (consistently profitable trader). If I can help you in any way just let me know!

From Your Quora Digest ·


I have seen many platforms provide online Trading options also in India. But I want to know why is it illegal and what could happen if I am caught trading online?
Sujith Ss
Sujith Ss, Financial engineer, risk management, Forex trader with 8 years experience.
FOREX
  • The foreign exchange market is a global decentralized market for the trading of currencies. This includes all aspects of buying, selling and exchanging currencies at current or determined prices.
  • Because of the sovereignty issue when involving two currencies, forex has little supervisory entity regulating its actions.
  • The foreign exchange market assists international trade and investments by enabling currency conversion. For example, it permits a business in the United States to import goods from European Union member states, especially Eurozone members, and pay Euros, even though its income is in United States dollars. It also supports direct speculation and evaluation relative to the value of currencies, and the carry trade, speculation based on the interest rate differential between two currencies.

Trading in Forex-INDIA

Forex means currency pair trading. Within Indian confinement, we could trade anything bench-marked against INR.

It is legal to trade with Indian Brokers providing access to Indian Exchanges(NSE,BSE,MCX-SX) providing access to Currency Derivatives. Currently the trading instruments are USDINR,JPYINR,GBPINR,EURINR.

Trading in Forex -MAJOR currency pairs

A widely traded currency pair is the relation of the euro against the US dollar, designated as EUR/USD. The quotation EUR/USD 1.2500 means that one euro is exchanged for 1.2500 US dollars. Here, EUR is the base currency and USD is the counter currency.

But its not possible for an indian to trade in this pairs.

Reasons

Reserve Bank of India is short of dollar denominators. That means, in-case you trade eur/usd with "out of india" players and, if you loose you would buy usd from RBI and send it away. This leads to increase in  current account deficit ( lack of foreign currency reserve).

If everybody in india trades forex with 'out of india' players, assuming the notorious nature of trading where 90% of traders eventually loose, RBI stands to loose alot of dollar. To compensate the outflow, our government will be forced to buy more US dollar, by selling INR at cheaper rates. Thus leads to devaluation of our INR.

Self-Interest of India

India is already buying crude and gold from foreign countries by paying in dollars. Whenever government needs to import, it has to sell inr and buy US dollar. Thus us dollar becomes stronger and our inr looses its purchase power due to lack of demand and over supply.

Forex trading with out of India players, if made legal will become the third demon to plague of already weak currency. That is why RBI allows Forex trading in INR based pairs, which is in turn traded within Indian citizens only. This ensures that no INR leaves country.

conclusion

One can trade usd/inr and eur/inr in such a way that inr gets negated and we eventually end up trading usd vs eur. This increases transaction cost. Then there is lack of liquidity as well. But if you are hell bound to do this, you are always welcome to get around this barrier and make your bets.

However if you send money to out of india, to FOREX brokers inorder to trade in any derivatives, Its illegal and liable for imprisonment, fine etc.

TRADING PRINCIPLES

Harshil Shah
Harshil Shah, I think I know about Markets, though am constantly surprised by them too!
Traders are generally of 3 Types:
  1. Technical Analysts- These types use technical analysis and computer simulations, to arrive at target entries and exits, using tools that they find useful. There are more than 200+ Technicals as they are called and people use what suits their styles. Some use MacD, some rely on Support and Resistance etc.
  2. News Traders-They keep an eye on news related to companies with their ears to the ground, and taking positions based on it.
  3. Intuitive Traders- As the name says, these guys rely on intuition to make trades.
All traders have some combination of the above, and are part all 3 types of traders, depending on their temperament.

Markets in the short term depend on 2 things:
  1. Demand
  2. Supply

The minute to minute price fluctuates based on Demand & Supply.

The thing about trading on expert advise heard on TV is that it can at times CREATE it's own demand. So if a channel has a million viewers, and roughly 30% follow the "calls", then the price will go up because so many people followed the call.

So an "expert recommendation" can actually push the price up or down depending on the call.

Now there has to be a seller of the shares for a buy to take place. So someone is effectively saying that the TV expert is wrong, and  doing quiet the opposite. Why would he/she do so?
  1. Made more money from an earlier purchase or sale than the experts target.
  2. Need cash for something.
  3. Margin Calls

But remember that good traders get 60% to 65% of their calls right. Simple, but they make more money on the right calls than they lose on the wrong ones.

The basic trading motto that you may want to internalize before you start trading in real life is as follows-

"Let the profits run, cut losses immediately. Be dispassionate about a trade, even if it is adverse. If you have an emotional hangover at the end of the session, you will lose, and lose horribly. The market charges its fees and NO ONE who has made money in the market has not paid it."

These are principles of trading, NOT INVESTING, those are a completely different set of rules!

TECH ANALYSIS


Kirubakaran Rajendran
Kirubakaran Rajendran, Stock Market Trader, Founder - www.squareoff.in
Yes, definitely Technical analysis is good. It helps you in finding the high probability entry or exit point to any stock.
You can have your own fundamental view on any stock, but the fundamental analysis could tell us what stocks to buy, but its only Technical analysis that tells us when to buy.
Also its equally important what is your objective ? You want to do intraday? short term positional trading? or Long term investment?
Say, you wanna try out Intraday or short term trading, you check the news, trying to find what HOT now. You end up seeing Reliance Jio news. After listening to the Jio announcement, you are excited now, as Reliance Jio is going to disrupt the Telecom industry with its great tariff plans and you are sure its going to increase its market share substantially. And finally your analysis says, since Reliance Jio is a subsidiary of Reliance Industries, Reliance stock price is going to climb up, so you wanna buy it.
If you could check the chart, the stock price climbed up from 1050Rs. to 1070 Rs., however it could not raise further as there is big resistance at that level, hence it started declining and after breaking support of 1050Rs. it went down further to Rs.1030.
If you had followed the news, you would have lost money on this intraday trade. If you had followed the chart, you would have gained money irrespective what the news says.
Now consider the same Reliance Industries for another example,
a most trusted Company in India, with a market capital of more than 3 lac crores, almost all mutual funds in India have invested in this Company, with such a stunning fundamental aspects, anybody would say Reliance Industries is great long term investment.
But if you do a technical analysis on the stock, it clearly shows you the stock has been stuck in range for more than 3 years now. The stock price neither appreciated much nor depreciated much. Its just stays there. No much movement.
This is where Technical analysis helps, telling you when to buy this stock. Until there is a real breakout of above Rs.1100, we cannot expect further upmove. No matter whatever Reliance does, (let it launch Jio, Bio, Trio) but I will not enter into this stock until the chart says so!

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INVESTING TIPS

If one  has appx. ₹20,000. What are the steps needed in investing it? For example, how to find a broker?
Sowmay Jain
Sowmay Jain, Investor & Blogger
​
​Are you tired of working hard for monthly salary or wages? OR Would
you like to start your own business but you don’t have any money to do it? OR Would you like a passive income to cover all the monthly expenses even if you didn’t work for months? OR Would you like to free yourself from your soul stealing job? OR Have you ever wondered what should you do with the money you
earned working hard?
If not, then start thinking now. Many may have also started thinking about how they can use their money in a well optimized manner in order to cultivate maximum return from their existing capital but the most crucial part where most of the people lose their momentum is deciding Where and How to lock their money in best possible manner.
If you had not planned anything yet then don't worry because that’s exactly what I’m going to demonstrate now. So, spare some of your time and read it fully.
In this answer you’ll came over some interesting facts about stock market investing in four section (with many lucrative examples)
First section deals with deciding the best investment vehicle where one can invest to get best out of his efforts.
Second section deals with perfect way to drive profit from your investment vehicle with an example of cattle and dairy farming
Third section deals with – why long run is the best run. Always be the lambi race ka ghoda.
Forth section deals with Coin flipping and Chimpanzee. What chimpanzee……..!! Oh damn it! I opened the surprise. No no no…. don’t directly switch to the last section.
If you think that you are super intelligent then you can skip sections as per your wish but I’ll recommend you to read it fully. At the end you’ll came to know the usefulness of sparing 15 min of your life reading it. This answer is somehow 5000 words so grab a coffee and start reading.

Section - #1) Best Investment Vehicle
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You can lock your money in many income sources like:
  • Equity (20%)
  • Mutual Funds (15%)
  • Debentures (12%)
  • Public Provident Funds (9%)
  • Real Estate (9%)
  • Fixed Deposits (7%)
  • Unit Trust of Funds (6%)
  • Precious Metals (5%)
  • Saving A/c (4%) or
  • Inside your locker (0%)
  • So on..........
Above, you can also observe % of returns pertaining to respective sources above. This % are the base quorum for detecting the best source of income. With no further ado, let us try to understand it.
As a rational being, you’ll always grab the opportunity where you can avail maximum benefit. Equity is the best return giver. Then why most of the people falter to invest in stock market? Simple, because they knows many bullshit stories about people who turned from lakhs to zero and even many had committed suicide - Financial crisis caused 5,000 suicides. Is investing in stock market is like risking your life and money?
Don’t get confused between Investing and Speculating. Latter simply means putting your money in an unknown deal and then praying. Those who speculate, lose and those who invest, win. Let me directly hit to the nail.
How much return do you expect every month? 5K, 20K, 50K or so on….. Lets say 10K.
In order to earn 10K bucks every month, you’ll need following amount pertaining to different sources. (only 4 popular sources are taken for better understanding)
  • If you totally rely on equity, then 50K bucks.
  • If MF, then around 65K
  • If Debts, then around 85K
  • If FD, then around 150K
You can note one thing that more are the returns, less are the funds requirement and vise versa. So, it is now quite clear that equity is the best source of return and also equities are a good hedge against inflation whereas other sources are not.
If above formula is applied then hardly 5K bucks can be earned from 25K and that too yearly. And the first question is demanding 3000% p.a. return from 10K bucks and second, next to impossible. Is it possible to earn 150 times more return than the above stated 20% return on Equity? Don’t worry, everything is possible in stock market. But HOW?
All the sources except equity have fixed return, not subject to any fluctuation. Whereas equity are volatile but the fact remained unnoticed by readers is that the 20% return of equity reflects the average not actual rate of individual stocks. Some stock may give you a return of +200% and some may not even 5% or even in negative. Whereas the 12%, 10% and 8% of other sources shows individual return. Lets me make it easy with an example.
Assume, you invested in 2 different stocks X & Y. X gave you the return of 5% p.a. and Y gave you the return of 35% p.a. At an average you get 20% return {(5+35)/2} but individually you get 5% and 35% return.
Again assume, you invested your money in FDs of two different banks (normally all banks have same interest rates), Individual ROR of both the banks are around 7%. So, individually you get 7% from both and averagely, you get 7% {(7+7)/2}.
What I want to point out is that there’s no difference between smart and fool peoples, if they invested in FD. Even a fool will earn the same amount of return that a sound minded person earns from FD but in stock market a fool will lose and wise people will win. You can show your talent on stock market but if you are wise enough to cultivate a decent return otherwise you can also lose your whole amount.
Have you ever heard that – “xyz become millionaire by investing in FD or PPF……” instead – “How Warren Buffett made wealth by investing in stock market”. That’s what make the difference in fixed return source and fluctuating return source. Equity can make a person and break a person. So, if you are smart enough and want to create a vast wealth then you should chose equity as source. Here a definition of smart investors, If you can earn more than average i.e. >20% then you are a wise investor and <20%, fool.
Hence, if you are smart enough to predict market nerves than you can earn 1000 times more than you have but be cautious one mistake can also break you in thousand pieces. So, be wise while investing.
However, if you are not capable enough to detect the best stocks from market then choose fixed return, but remember even a fool can earn some amount as you can. Decide weather you are a fool or not?

Section #2) Best way to drive profit from stock market.
There are two ways to drive profits:
  • Cashflow gain (Dividend income)
  • Capital gain (Notional income)
Be attentive, it is the most crucial part to have a deep insight into stock market investing.
As I promised to give you a example earlier. So, lets start with an interesting example.
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There are two ways to earn money from farming associated with animals; cattle farming and dairy farming. I read this example in a book named “Stocks to Riches” by “Late Sir Parag Parikh”. Found it valuable, so illustrated here.
In cattle farming, the only asset is Cattle are bred, reared to yield good value when they are sold to slaughter house. This is what known as speculation. You bought a stock, waited till the price hiked, then sold it off in the market for a profit. This
is how capital gain investing works.
On the other hand, In dairy farming, the only asset is also cattle. And even here too cattle are bred and reared but what made the difference is that they are not sold to slaughter house. Here the cattle are used for long term purpose, they are used to obtain a regular supply of milk. So, ultimately here you earn from selling dairy products. This is what known as investment. You bought a stock at cheap rates, then price hiked and dropped but you didn’t sold it to other investors. You retain it for long term purpose. They are used to obtain regular supply of dividends (cashflow/bonus shares/rights issue). Read How a chap turned 10,000 Rs into 704 crores in long run but first read the whole answer. I’ll remind it to you at the end.
What I want to point out is – there’s no shortcut or perfect way to earn huge wealth in short run. You’ve to wait for years.
I started my investment at a legal age of 18 and I can predict that how much wealth will I have by the age of 30 so that their will be no need to work for other half of my life. Other half fully devoted to me. This is what known as financial literacy. Always remember a secret of growing wealth. Never let any penny out of your portfolio which you invested instead grow up your portfolio. Every penny in your portfolio will invent an another new penny for you.
Think of it this way; Once a penny goes into your portfolio, it becomes your employee. The best thing about money is that it works 24 hours a day and can work for generation, for my son, grandson, so on, until someone destroy it.
Don’t get confuse between rich and wealthy. I also have my own definition for wealth. Actually, I borrowed it from a man named R. Buckminster Fuller. It was pretty confusing at first, but after reading it, it began to make some sense:
"Wealth is a person’s ability to survive so many number of days – or, if I stopped working today, how long could I survive"
So, while I’m not rich but I’m wealthy. Now, I’ve income generating investment vehicles that fully cover my monthly expenses. If I want to increase my expenses, I must increase employees in my portfolio. And also note that at this point, I’m no longer dependent on my salary.
Read my another writings regarding how to create a sustainable portfolio Charlie: My Portfolio but first continue read this answer, I’ll remind it to you at the end.

Section #3) Always be lambi race ka ghoda.
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“Someone is sitting in the shade today because someone planted a seed a long time ago”
Thousands of people write answers on Quora daily and all of them (even did I) love to receive feedbacks from readers in the form of views, upvotes or comments. But if you are expecting these feedbacks in short run then Quora is not your cup of tea. It is mostly not possible that you wrote a charming answer and next day your answer was surrounded by many readers or thousands of upvotes. It’s a long term process. I read many 5 line answer with great views and upvotes like this one, Ian Peters-Campbell's answer to What are the best possible jobs for someone who is extremely intelligent but extremely lazy? What made him so successful is patience regardless of the fact that his answer has any quality. when I asked him - What's the matter? He replied - "I wrote this answer in 2010, time and patience valued it the most. I didn't got anything in short run"
Same as millions of people invests in stock market daily and all of them (even did I) love to receive excellent return in form of capital gain, bonus issue, dividends etc. But if you are expecting that return in short run then stock market is not your cup of tea. It is mostly not possible that you invested and next day many newsreporter surrounded you asking "how you turned 1K into 1 millions...……..?"
It’s a long term process. Patience is main profit driving force to fetch money from stock market. I have read many rags to riches stories and what I found common in them is patience, not selling a single stock he bought for many years. That's how time value money in stock market.
No doubt, there are many answers which gone trending in short run like this one; "What would a modern-day evil genius have to do in order to take over the world?" delivered by Oliver Emberton. Within 3 days, after writing this answer, he got half a million views and within days, Oliver was approached by multiple publishers about book, movie, and TV rights. And the most astonishing fact was that he had written that answer on his phone, in between helping his girlfriend move home. May be you're also dreaming that you invested your money in some bullshit stocks. Within days you earned half a million bucks and within days many reporters approached you to ask about your success story. Stop day dreaming. It is possible on Quora but not in stock market. Writing answers is somewhat related to your writing skills and imagination power but investing in stock is all about peculiar vision and perfect prediction to detect market behavior. It is not easy to perfectly predict market nerve in short run. Within couple of minutes market get up and down.
(See more at: How Oliver Emberton Used Quora to Build a Popular Blog in Less Than One Year but first read out full answer. I'll remind you at the end)
Many maybe thinking – “I’ve seen many peoples who earned huge wealth from short term trading, so it is not a yardstick rule that nobody can earn from short term”.
Yes, you’re right. There are many investors who earned millions of money in just a month or so because it's a common rule of market that money is not created while trading it is just transferred from one person to another. So, there are 50-50 chances that you’ll win or lose. Whenever a trade is executed, it is pre-planned that one will gain and one will lose. Money goes from one hand to another. Therefore you may had saw many people gaining as the proportion of losing is equal to winning side. Even I saw many people earning huge amount from Poker but there is no perfect way to play a poker game. It’s all depends on luck. Same applies here in stock market, only lucky people gains from short term trading. If you find yourself lucky, then start speculating.
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(Image read - "One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys another seeks and both think they are astute" by William Feather)
Always remember, you may have always be on winning side, even your luck may work for long time. But whenever a pharaoh curse will appear, your whole capital will erode making you unable to invest in market again. It'll take years to recover your capital. My eyeball witnessed many peoples who are crying for their act and will be regretful rest of their life. It is better to gain from the experience of others, not yours. What more to say? Once I was asked – “How can we become a day trading millionaire?” I replied – “Easy, just start out as a day trading billionaire”

Section #4) Exploit the discrepancies of price and value
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I can bet that after reading this section you’ll become a great follower of value investing philosophy. You’ll worship Mr. Buffet and follow his preaching. Be prepared.
The common intellectual value investing is that find the discrepancies between the value of a business and the price of small pieces of that business (also known as share) in the market. It doesn’t matter whether the stocks are bought on Monday or Thursday, or whether it is January or July, etc. What matter is price and value. (Currently I’m writing an blogpost on “How to value a stock”. So, stay in touch with my blog via subscription)
When value investors buy stocks, they see it as a medium of buying a business, not a product which goes up and down. They are just purchasing a business through the purchase of marketable stocks -- I doubt that many are cranking into their purchase decision the day of the week or the month in which the transaction is going to occur. If it doesn't make any difference whether all of a business is being bought on a Monday or a Friday, I am baffled why academicians invest extensive time and effort to see whether it makes a difference when buying small pieces of those same businesses. Many professionals talk about beta factor and some other factors. In fact, most of them would have difficulty defining those terms. The value investors simply focus on two variables: price and value.
I always find it extraordinary that so many studies are made of price and volume behavior, the stuff of chartists. Can you imagine buying an entire business simply because the price of the business had been marked up substantially last week and the week before? Of course, the reason a lot of studies are made of these price and volume variables is that now, in the age of computers, there are almost endless data available about them. It isn't necessarily because such studies have any utility; it's simply that the data are there and academicians have [worked] hard to learn the mathematical skills needed to manipulate them. Once these skills are acquired, it seems sinful not to use them, even if the usage has no utility or negative utility. As a friend said, to a man with a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
Let me make it easy with a lucrative example of Coin flipping and Chimpanzees.
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Actually its not mine corpus. I took it from a sarcastic speech of Mr. Buffett at Columbia University back in 1984. You’ll find it interesting. I've edited some parts to make it reader friendly.
“……….Before we begin this examination, I would like you to imagine a national coin-flipping contest. Let's assume we get 225 million Americans up tomorrow morning and we ask them all to wager a dollar. They go out in the morning at sunrise, and they all call the flip of a coin. If they call correctly, they win a dollar from those who called wrong. Each day the losers drop out, and on the subsequent day the stakes build as all previous winnings are put on the line. After ten flips on ten mornings, there will be approximately 220,000 people in the United States who have correctly called ten flips in a row. They each will have won a little over $1,000.
Now this group will probably start getting a little puffed up about this, human nature being what it is. They may try to be modest, but at cocktail parties they will occasionally admit to attractive members of the opposite sex what their technique is, and what marvelous insights they bring to the field of flipping.
Assuming that the winners are getting the appropriate rewards from the losers, in another ten days we will have 215 people who have successful called their coin flips 20 times in a row and who, by this exercise, each have turned one dollar into a little over $1 million. $225 million would have been lost, $225 million would have been won.
By then, this group will really lose their heads. They will probably write books on "How I turned a Dollar into a Million in Twenty Days Working Thirty Seconds a Morning." Worse yet, they'll probably start jetting around the countryattending seminars on efficient coin-flipping and tackling skeptical professorswith, " If it can't be done, why are there 215 of us?"
By then some business school professor will probably be rude enough to bring up the fact that if 225 million chimpanzees had engaged in a similar exercise, the results would be much the same - 215 egotistical chimpanzees with 20 straight winning flips.
I would argue, however, that there are some important differences in the examples I am going to present. For one thing, if (a) you had taken 225 million orangutans distributed roughly as the U.S. population is; if (b) 215 winners were left after 20 days; and if (c) you found that 40 came from a particular zoo in Omaha, you would be pretty sure you were on to something. So you would probably go out and ask the zookeeper about what he's feeding them, whether they had special exercises, what books they read, and who knows what else. That is, if you found any really extraordinary concentrations of success, you might want to see if you could identify concentrations of unusual characteristics that might be causal factors.
Scientific inquiry naturally follows such a pattern. If you were trying to analyze possible causes of a rare type of cancer -- with, say, 1,500 cases a year in the United States -- and you found that 400 of them occurred in some little mining town in Montana, you would get very interested in the water there, or the occupation of those afflicted, or other variables. You know it's not random chance that 400 come from a small area. You would not necessarily know the causal factors, but you would know where to search.
I submit to you that there are ways of defining an origin other than geography. In addition to geographical origins, there can be what I call an intellectual origin. I think you will find that a disproportionate number of successful coin-flippers in the investment world came from a very small intellectual village. A concentration of winners that simply cannot be explained by chance can be traced to this particularintellectual village.
Conditions could exist that would make even that concentration unimportant. Perhaps 100 people were simply imitating the coin-flipping call of some terribly persuasive personality. When he called heads, 100 followers automatically called that coin the same way. If the leader was part of the 215 left at the end, the fact that 100 came from the same intellectual origin would mean nothing. You would simply be identifying one case as a hundred cases.
Similarly, let's assume that you lived in a strongly patriarchal society and every family in the United States conveniently consisted of ten members. Further assume that the patriarchal culture was so strong that, when the 225 million people went out the first day, every member of the family identified with the father's call. Now, at the end of the 20-day period, you would have 215 winners, and you would find that they came from only 21.5 families. Some naive types might say that this indicates an enormous hereditary factor as an explanation of successful coin-flipping. But, of course, it would have no significance at all because it would simply mean that you didn't have 215 individual winners, but rather 21.5 randomly distributed families who were winners.
In this group of successful investors that I want to consider, there has been a common intellectual patriarch, Ben Graham. But the children who left the house of this intellectual patriarch have called their "flips" in very different ways. They have gone to different places and bought and sold different stocks and companies, yet they have had a combined record that simply cannot be explained by the fact that they are all calling flips identically because a leader is signaling the calls for them to make. The patriarch has merely set forth the intellectual theory for making coin-calling decisions, but each student has decided on his own manner ofapplying the theory………..
……….. The exact opposite is true with value investing. If you buy a dollar bill for 60 cents, it's riskier than if you buy a dollar bill for 40 cents, but the expectation of reward is greater in the latter case. The greater the potential for reward in the value portfolio, the less risk there is.
One quick example: The Washington Post Company in 1973 was selling for $80 million in the market. At the time, that day, you could have sold the assets to any one of ten buyers for not less than $400 million, probably appreciably more. The company owned the Post,Newsweek, plus several television stations in major markets. Those same properties are worth $2 billion now, so the person who would have paid $400 million would not have been crazy.
Now, if the stock had declined even further to a price that made the valuation $40 million instead of $80 million, its beta would have been greater. And to people that think beta measures risk, the cheaper price would have made it look riskier. This is truly Alice in Wonderland. I have never been able to figure out why it's riskier to buy $400 million worth of properties for $40 million than $80 million. And, as a matter of fact, if you buy a group of such securities and you know anything at all about business valuation, there is essentially no risk in buying $400 million for $80 million, particularly if you do it by buying ten $40 million piles of $8 million each. Since you don't have your hands on the $400 million, you want to be sure you are in with honest and reasonably competent people, but that's not a difficult job.
You also have to have the knowledge to enable you to make a very general estimate about the value of the underlying businesses. But you do not cut it close. That is what Ben Graham meant by having a margin of safety. You don't try and buy businesses worth $83 million for $80 million. You leave yourself an enormous margin. When you build a bridge, you insist it can carry 30,000 pounds, but you only drive 10,000 pound trucks across it. And that same principle works in investing………..”
Further Mr. Buffett demonstrated the portfolios of all value investors of his time. You can read it here, superinvestors but first read this answer full.
He also gave a good insights of risk and reward further in his speech, “I would like to say one important thing about risk and reward. Sometimes risk and reward are correlated in a positive fashion. If someone were to say to me, "I have here a six-shooter and I have slipped one cartridge into it. Why don't you just spin it and pull it once? If you survive, I will give you $1 million." I would decline -- perhaps stating that $1 million is not enough. Then he might offer me $5 million to pull the trigger twice -- now that would be a positive correlation between risk and reward!...........”
And now the most important part,
“…………I can only tell you that the secret has been out for 50 years, ever since Ben Graham and Dave Dodd wrote Security Analysis, yet I have seen no trend toward value investing in the 35 years that I've practiced it. There seems to be some perverse human characteristic that likes to make easy things difficult. The academic world, if anything, has actually backed away from the teaching of value investing over the last 30 years. It's likely to continue that way. Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace, and those who read their Graham & Dodd will continue to prosper…………”
Maybe you got my point, value investing is not a luck by chance game you’ll absolutely win the game whereas speculation is just putting your money in some deal and then praying.
While they differ greatly in style, these investors are, mentally, always buying the business, not buying the stock. A few of them sometimes buy whole businesses. Far more often they simply buy small pieces of businesses. Their attitude, whether buying all or a tiny piece of a business, is the same. Some of them hold portfolios with dozens of stocks; others concentrate on a handful. But all exploit the difference between the market price of a business and its intrinsic value.
Now about it - Is the "look for values with a significant margin of safety relative to prices" approach to stock analysis, out of date?
Let me end my answer with an thought expressed by Walter Schloss,
“I doesn't worry about whether it is January or December, I doesn't worry about whether it's Monday or Friday, I doesn't worry about whether it's an election year. I simply thinks, if a business is worth a dollar and I can buy it for 40 cents, something good may happen to me. And I does it over and over and over again”

What? You can't seek any opportunity?
Okay, don't worry just stay connected with me. I'll update you time to time with this types of precious information. Best way to get notified about it is to get subscribed to my blog. Not joking, I treat my subscribers as inner "caucus". They are the only one who get notified about my new writings.
I promised you to remind many stuff while you are reading the answer. So, below are the links….,

HOW TO LEARN ABOUT STOCKS

Read in the following order (presuming you don't know ABCD of investing)
1. Read definitions of fundamental/value investing and how different is it from trading and speculation
2. There are so many books which will help you learn to comprehend financial statements
3. Start reading business news papers evey single day. (If you don't understand google it, if you lose track do it all over again. Within a few months news items will start making sense)
4. Read about financial analysis and get yourself acquainted with financial jargons like EPS, price earnings ratio, enterprise value, various kinds of debt. mortgage, pledge etc.
5. Read One up on wall street by Peter Lynch. And then Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham.
6. By now your knowledge on investing would have improved considerably. Now you can read Warren Buffet's annual letters to his share holders ( available in berkshire hathway's site)
7. Congratulations, now you are on your own.

STRATEGY FOR INTRADAY TRADER

Kirubakaran Rajendran
Kirubakaran Rajendran, Stock Market Trader,Founder - www.squareoff.in
Here's one of the best and simple intraday strategy you can try.

Opening Range Breakout (ORB) is a commonly used trading system by professional and amateur traders alike and has the potential to deliver high accuracy if done with optimal usage of indicators, strict rules and good assessment of overall market mood. This system is applicable only for intraday trading.

ORB trading has several variations practiced by traders all over the globe. Some traders trade on a significant breakout from opening range, while others trade immediately on opening range breakout. Time window for the trades also varies from 30 minutes to 3 hours.

Over a period of time observing and trading Indian markets, I have devised with the below system suiting our markets. Below method is both a scalping and a trending system combined into one, hence it is possible to take the advantage of quick moves and trending markets with multiple lots of trades.

Trading Strategy

Quite Simple and straightforward. Rules in the next section needs to be adhered to increase the success rates dramatically.
Any stock creates a range in the first 30 minutes of trading in a day. This is calling Opening Range. The highs and lows of this timeframe is taken as support and resistance.

1. Buy when the stock moves above the Opening Range high.
2. Sell when the stock moves below the Opening Range low.

PLEASE NOTE THAT THE ABOVE SYSTEM IS GENERIC, THE RULES BELOW WILL MAKE IT A SPECIFIC SYSTEM. IF YOU ARE FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM, PLEASE FOLLOW ALL THE RULES FOR BUY / SELL STRICTLY.

General Rules – Applicable for both Buy and Sell:

Opening range is defined by the high and low made in the first 30 minutes.

5 min chart with 5 EMA and 20 EMA used for making trading decisions.

Entry should be made only on close of the 5 min candle outside the opening range.

20 EMA is one of the key technical indicators used in this system for trend trading. Stop loss is always kept at 20 EMA for riding the profits.

Volume confirmation – Breakout candle should show increase in volume.

Optional confirmation- One of the two indicators - MACD or Stochastics should be favorable for the trade. (We have four indicators in Simplified Technical Analysis - Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, Stochastics. The idea here is at least two indicators should confirm the trade.).

This is purely optional condition to enter trade.
  • Respect support and resistance levels. Do not buy just below a resistance or sell just above a support.
  • Always trade with 2 lots and book 50% as soon as you see few points profit. Second lot will be used for taking advantage of days trend.

Rules for Buy
  • Stock should be trading above the 20 EMA line before the breakout.
  • Buy when the 5 minutes candle closes above the opening range.
  • 5 EMA line should be above the opening range at the time of breakout.

Where to keep Stoploss

Initial Stoploss – Low of the Opening Range.
Trailing Stoploss - As the stock moves in your direction and you are in profits, book 50% , trail the stoploss at 20 EMA. A close of 5 min candle below 20 EMA confirms exit.

When to book full profits

When the 5 min candle closes below the 20 EMA in the case of longs.

Rules for Sell
  • Stock should be trading below the 20 EMA line before the breakdown.
  • Sell when the 5 minute candle closes below the opening range.
  • 5 EMA line should be below the opening range at the time of breakout

Where to keep Stoploss
Initial Stoploss – High of the Opening Range.
Trailing Stoploss - As the stock moves in your direction and you are in profits, book 50% , trail the stoploss at 20 EMA. A close of 5 min candle above 20 EMA confirms exit.

When to book full profits

When the 5 min candle closes above the 20 EMA.
High Probability Trade Setups

Below additional conditions will give high probability of success:
  • The Opening Range breakout is above previous day’s high for buy.
  • The Opening Range breakout is below previous day’s low for sell.
  • Trade is in the direction of higher time frame charts (15 min /30 min).
  • Overall Market is moving in the direction of the trade.
  • Opening range breakout happens after brief period of consolidation.

Important Additional Points
  • If the opening range is too wide, better do not trade ORB, since the SLs will be very far in our system. You can use other trading systems in such a case.
  • Avoid Opening Range Breakout trades in case of a heavy news flow day. ( Like Inflation, Manufacturing, Policy decisions etc.). Use other trading systems once the market settles down after the news.

Opening Range Breakout Trading Example